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Re: Flight 800 Meteor report
>Regarding the Flight 800 information, I believe it is important to note
>that the probability of a meteor hitting the plane, however small, is still
>a number greater than zero. From what I recall hearing about the original
>testimony, the scientist concluded that the chance of Flight 800 being hit
>by a meteor was so small it was not worth even treating it as a serious
>cause. This does make a certain amount of sense in that if one opens up
>the cause of the tragedy to all the possible non-zero probability causes,
>the list becomes infinitely long. However, given issues surrounding the
>crash such as missile (meteor?) sightings, and the known fall of several
>meteorites in that region of the continent in the past couple of years
>(Peekskill et al.), I believe the non-zero probability of a meteor as the
>cause should not be ruled out to quickly.
I believe the most likely cause of the Flight 800 accident is an
electrical short near the fuel tank. This also has a non-zero probability
of occuring, but is something like a billion times more likely to
happen than a meteor strike.
Ron Baalke